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EMERGING MARKETS INDEX

EMERGING MARKETS INDEX

NEWS RELEASE

The survey of more than 780 global logistics and supply chain executives is part of the 2020 Agility Emerging Markets Logistics Index, an annual snapshot of industry sentiment and a ranking of the world’s 50 leading emerging markets by size, business conditions, infrastructure and transport connections.

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EMERGING MARKETS INDEX

AGILITY EMERGING MARKETS INDICES

The Agility Emerging Markets Logistics Index uses economic and trade data, social indicators and transport development to rank 50 emerging markets countries for their potential as logistics markets. The Index’s annual survey shows the regions, countries and industries where global logistics executives see the greatest growth potential and risk in the year ahead.

EMERGING MARKETS INDEX

NEWS RELEASE

The survey of more than 780 global logistics and supply chain executives is part of the 2020 Agility Emerging Markets Logistics Index, an annual snapshot of industry sentiment and a ranking of the world’s 50 leading emerging markets by size, business conditions, infrastructure and transport connections.

Overview

Agility Emerging Markets Logistics Index 2020

Fears of a global recession and concern over a US – China trade war have not diminished the resilience of the emerging markets in this broad-based logistics survey.

Supply chain industry executives believe a recession is coming in 2020.

This is happening amid concerns about downward pressure on global trade volumes, uncertain growth prospects and ongoing friction between the U.S and China

0 %

say a recession is “likely” or “very likely”

Only

0 %

of 780 leaders said a recession is unlikely

These insights are from the 2020 Agility Emerging Markets Logistics Index

At the same time, most logistics executives say their companies will ride out any turbulence in trade relations between the world’s two largest economies

0 %

of those with operations in China say they will stay put and not change their business plans

Those open to moving from China favor Vietnam and India 

The Index ranks 50 countries by factors that make them attractive to logistics providers, freight forwarders, shipping lines, air cargo carriers and distributors

Top 10 Emerging Markets in 2020

Top Ten Index Nations

Top 10 Emerging Markets in 2020

1. China

6. Saudi Arabia

2. India

7. Qatar

3. UAE

8. Mexico

4. Indonesia

9. Thailand

5. Malaysia

10. Turkey

Agility Emerging Markets Logistics Index 2020 - Domestic Logistics
Ranked Highest for Domestic Logistics
  • China
  • India
  • Indonesia
Agility Emerging Markets Logistics Index 2020 - Domestic Logistics
Top for International Logistics
  • China
  • India
  • Mexico
Agility Emerging Markets Logistics Index 2020 - Domestic Logistics
Best Business Fundamentals
  • United Arab Emirates
  • Malaysia
  • Saudi Arabia

The strongest clusters of emerging markets are in the Arabian Gulf and Southeast Asia, thanks to business-friendly conditions and core strengths

In the Gulf:

Among ASEAN countries:

India has the greatest potential as an emerging market, edging China.

Egypt soars in the 2020 Agility Emerging Markets Logistics Index. Structural reforms have addressed many entrenched issues and helped stabilize the economy, laying the groundwork for growth and robust private-sector participation.

On the Index, Egypt leaps six places to

# 0

For international opportunities, Egypt rose five spots to

# 0

In domestic opportunities, it jumped five places to

# 0

And in business fundamentals, Egypt rocketed ten spots to

# 0

EMERGING MARKETS INDEX

NEWS RELEASE

The survey of more than 780 global logistics and supply chain executives is part of the 2020 Agility Emerging Markets Logistics Index, an annual snapshot of industry sentiment and a ranking of the world’s 50 leading emerging markets by size, business conditions, infrastructure and transport connections.

Videos

EMERGING MARKETS INDEX

EMERGING MARKETS INDEX

NEWS RELEASE

The survey of more than 780 global logistics and supply chain executives is part of the 2020 Agility Emerging Markets Logistics Index, an annual snapshot of industry sentiment and a ranking of the world’s 50 leading emerging markets by size, business conditions, infrastructure and transport connections.

Surveys

EMERGING MARKETS INDEX

Have your operations/investment plans in China changed as a result of the trade war between the Trump Administration and China?

If companies move operations from China, where are they most likely to relocate?

 

On balance, how will South East Asian countries that both feed Chinese supply chains and compete with Chinese manufacturers be affected by US-China trade tensions?

 

Which of the following will have the most negative effect on emerging market growth over the next 5 years?

Which logistics markets will maintain or improve growth despite higher trade barriers over the next 12 months?

How much are US-China trade volumes likely to change in 2019 as a result of ongoing trade tensions?

How likely is a global recession in 2020?

How would a recession affect emerging markets as a group?

Which region is most vulnerable in the case of a global recession?

Emerging markets growth for 2019 is expected to be 4.1% in 2019. The IMF forecasts 2020 emerging market growth of 4.7%. In your opinion, is this*:


 

*IMF growth and forecast numbers issued in October 2019.

Markets with the Most Potential

Markets with the Least Potential

What type of company stands to lose the most from more restrictive trade policies?

Which factors most inhibit SMEs from cross-border trade? 

Which of these will be most important in facilitating emerging markets trade growth over the next 5 years? 

Of the factors listed below, please select the most important drivers of logistics market growth.

Please rank the factors below in order of their significance when assessing emerging markets as investment opportunities.

Megacities have more than 10m inhabitants. At that scale, megacities require vast logistics support both internally and as import and export hubs. Of these megacities, please rank them in terms of attractiveness as logistics hubs.

Which logistics services provide the best opportunities within megacities?

Have your operations/investment plans in China changed as a result of the trade war between the Trump Administration and China?

If companies move operations from China, where are they most likely to relocate?

On balance, how will South East Asian countries that both feed Chinese supply chains and compete with Chinese manufacturers be affected by US-China trade tensions?

 

Which of the following will have the most negative effect on emerging market growth over the next 5 years?

 

Which of the following will have the most negative effect on emerging market growth over the next 5 years?

 

How much are US-China trade volumes likely to change in 2019 as a result of ongoing trade tensions?

 

How likely is a global recession in 2020?

 

How would a recession affect emerging markets as a group?

 

What effect would a global recession in 2020 have on the following regions?

(Rank regions in order of those likely to suffer most descending to suffer least by a recession, where 1 = ‘most likely to suffer’ and 5 = ‘least likely to suffer’)

 

Emerging markets growth for 2019 is expected to be 4.1% in 2019. The IMF forecasts 2020 emerging market growth of 4.7%. In your opinion, is this:


Markets with the Most Potential

Markets with the Least Potential

What type of company stands to lose the most from more restrictive trade policies?

 

Which factors most inhibit SMEs from cross-border trade? Please select the 3 most significant inhibitors. 

 

Which of these will be most important in facilitating emerging markets trade growth over the next 5 years? Please select the 3 most important facilitators.

 

Of the factors listed below, please select the three most important drivers of logistics market growth.

Please rank the factors below in order of their significance when assessing emerging markets as investment opportunities (1= most significant).

Megacities have more than 10m inhabitants. At that scale, megacities require vast logistics support both internally and as import and export hubs. Of these megacities, please rank the top 5 in terms of their attractiveness as logistics hubs, where Market 1= most attractive.

Which logistics services provide the best opportunities within megacities?

EMERGING MARKETS INDEX

NEWS RELEASE

The survey of more than 780 global logistics and supply chain executives is part of the 2020 Agility Emerging Markets Logistics Index, an annual snapshot of industry sentiment and a ranking of the world’s 50 leading emerging markets by size, business conditions, infrastructure and transport connections.

Rankings

EMERGING MARKETS INDEX

Overall Rankings 2020

Ranking Country Domestic Logistics Opportunities International Logistics Opportunities Business Fundamentals Overall
1 China 8.87 9.75 7.17 8.90
2 India 8.05 7.54 5.70 7.39
3 UAE 5.57 5.75 9.33 6.36
4 Indonesia 6.33 6.03 5.95 6.14
5 Malaysia 5.30 5.83 8.23 6.07
6 Saudi Arabia 5.44 5.53 8.17 6.00
7 Qatar 5.39 4.85 8.11 5.69
8 Mexico 5.36 6.33 4.91 5.67
9 Thailand 5.09 5.90 5.97 5.59
10 Turkey 5.17 5.80 5.77 5.54
11 Vietnam 4.94 6.17 5.37 5.52
12 Chile 4.86 5.21 7.40 5.48
13 Russia 5.17 5.75 5.45 5.46
14 Oman 4.98 4.87 7.29 5.38
15 Bahrain 5.01 4.66 7.51 5.35
16 Brazil 5.49 5.72 3.68 5.24
17 Jordan 4.91 4.70 6.69 5.16
18 Morocco 4.62 4.95 6.69 5.15
19 Kuwait 5.13 4.61 6.06 5.09
20 Egypt 5.09 4.69 5.74 5.05
21 Kazakhstan 4.73 4.68 6.39 5.03
22 Philippines 4.98 5.22 4.47 4.98
23 South Africa 4.64 4.96 5.16 4.87
24 Uruguay 4.82 4.39 5.98 4.87
25 Peru 4.72 5.12 4.47 4.84
26 Colombia 4.71 5.11 4.49 4.83
27 Ukraine 4.79 4.81 4.64 4.75
28 Pakistan 5.09 4.58 4.34 4.74
29 Kenya 4.59 4.56 4.94 4.64
30 Lebanon 4.89 4.62 4.14 4.64
31 Argentina 4.93 4.67 3.86 4.62
32 Algeria 4.92 4.24 4.81 4.62
33 Tunisia 4.62 4.44 4.87 4.60
34 Sri Lanka 4.52 4.68 4.49 4.57
35 Nigeria 5.05 4.30 3.99 4.55
36 Ecuador 4.49 4.62 4.62 4.53
37 Tanzania 4.61 4.08 5.13 4.49
38 Bangladesh 4.95 4.38 3.54 4.45
39 Ghana 4.57 4.30 4.47 4.44
40 Iran 4.85 4.11 4.01 4.39
41 Cambodia 4.35 4.46 4.19 4.36
42 Uganda 4.37 4.33 4.40 4.36
43 Ethiopia 4.50 4.38 3.38 4.24
44 Bolivia 4.41 4.41 3.48 4.23
45 Paraguay 4.37 4.33 3.63 4.21
46 Angola 4.42 4.31 2.04 3.92
47 Myanmar 4.35 4.45 1.64 3.87
48 Mozambique 4.17 4.33 2.15 3.85
49 Libya 4.45 4.34 1.45 3.83
50 Venezuela 4.37 3.86 0.09 3.35

Domestic Logistics Opportunities 2020

Ranking Country Domestic Logistics Opportunities
1 China 8.87
2 India 8.05
3 Indonesia 6.33
4 UAE 5.57
5 Brazil 5.49
6 Saudi Arabia 5.44
7 Qatar 5.39
8 Mexico 5.36
9 Malaysia 5.30
10 Turkey 5.17
11 Russia 5.17
12 Kuwait 5.13
13 Egypt 5.09
14 Thailand 5.09
15 Pakistan 5.09
16 Nigeria 5.05
17 Bahrain 5.01
18 Oman 4.98
19 Philippines 4.98
20 Bangladesh 4.95
21 Vietnam 4.94
22 Argentina 4.93
23 Algeria 4.92
24 Jordan 4.91
25 Lebanon 4.89
26 Chile 4.86
27 Iran 4.85
28 Uruguay 4.82
29 Ukraine 4.79
30 Kazakhstan 4.73
31 Peru 4.72
32 Colombia 4.71
33 South Africa 4.64
34 Tunisia 4.62
35 Morocco 4.62
36 Tanzania 4.61
37 Kenya 4.59
38 Ghana 4.57
39 Sri Lanka 4.52
40 Ecuador 4.51
41 Ethiopia 4.50
42 Libya 4.45
43 Angola 4.42
44 Bolivia 4.41
45 Uganda 4.37
46 Paraguay 4.37
47 Venezuela 4.37
48 Myanmar 4.35
49 Cambodia 4.35
50 Mozambique 4.17

International Logistics Opportunities 2020

Ranking Country International Logistics Opportunities
1 China 9.75
2 India 7.54
3 Mexico 6.33
4 Vietnam 6.17
5 Indonesia 6.03
6 Thailand 5.90
7 Malaysia 5.83
8 Turkey 5.80
9 UAE 5.75
10 Russia 5.75
11 Brazil 5.72
12 Saudi Arabia 5.53
13 Philippines 5.22
14 Chile 5.21
15 Peru 5.12
16 Colombia 5.11
17 South Africa 4.96
18 Morocco 4.95
19 Oman 4.87
20 Qatar 4.85
21 Ukraine 4.81
22 Jordan 4.70
23 Egypt 4.69
24 Kazakhstan 4.68
25 Sri Lanka 4.68
26 Argentina 4.67
27 Bahrain 4.66
28 Lebanon 4.62
29 Kuwait 4.61
30 Pakistan 4.58
31 Ecuador 4.57
32 Kenya 4.56
33 Cambodia 4.46
34 Myanmar 4.45
35 Tunisia 4.44
36 Bolivia 4.41
37 Uruguay 4.39
38 Ethiopia 4.38
39 Bangladesh 4.38
40 Libya 4.34
41 Uganda 4.33
42 Mozambique 4.33
43 Paraguay 4.33
44 Angola 4.31
45 Nigeria 4.30
46 Ghana 4.30
47 Algeria 4.24
48 Iran 4.11
49 Tanzania 4.08
50 Venezuela 3.86

Business Fundamentals 2020

RankingCountryBusiness Fundamentals
1UAE9.33
2Malaysia8.23
3Saudi Arabia8.17
4Qatar8.11
5Bahrain7.51
6Chile7.40
7Oman7.29
8China7.17
9Jordan6.69
10Morocco6.69
11Kazakhstan6.39
12Kuwait6.06
13Uruguay5.98
14Thailand5.97
15Indonesia5.95
16Turkey5.77
17Egypt5.74
18India5.70
19Russia5.45
20Vietnam5.37
21South Africa5.16
22Tanzania5.13
23Kenya4.94
24Mexico4.91
25Tunisia4.87
26Algeria4.81
27Ukraine4.64
28Colombia4.49
29Sri Lanka4.49
30Philippines4.47
31Peru4.47
32Ghana4.47
33Ecuador4.46
34Uganda4.40
35Pakistan4.34
36Cambodia4.19
37Lebanon4.14
38Iran4.01
39Nigeria3.99
40Argentina3.86
41Brazil3.68
42Paraguay3.63
43Bangladesh3.54
44Bolivia3.48
45Ethiopia3.38
46Mozambique2.15
47Angola2.04
48Myanmar1.64
49Libya1.45
50Venezuela0.09

EMERGING MARKETS INDEX

NEWS RELEASE

The survey of more than 780 global logistics and supply chain executives is part of the 2020 Agility Emerging Markets Logistics Index, an annual snapshot of industry sentiment and a ranking of the world’s 50 leading emerging markets by size, business conditions, infrastructure and transport connections.